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With the advent of the information era,
IT and the information industry are becoming the main stimuli
of world economy, driving the transformation from industrial
society to information society, while causing the institutional
reform and changing the realistic economic activities and
social life. Just as what Okinawa Charter on Global information
Society points out: information and communications technology
is one of the most potent forces in shaping the twenty-first
century. Its revolutionary impact affects the way people
live, learn and work and the way government interact with
civil society. IT is fast becoming a vital engine of growth
for the world economy.
1. Characteristics and Trend of the World
Information Industry Development
1.1 Introduction of the World Information Industry Development
1.1.1 The World Information Industry Development
Over the decade the world information industry has been
developing very fast, which has played a vital role in the
growth of world economy. In the middle 1990s, IT became
the world first industry surpassing those industrial sectors,
such as automobile and steel, etc. In the later 1990s, the
average annual growth rate of world economy was around 3%,
while the growing speed of IT and relevant industries was
2-3 times that of the economic growth. In 1998, the contribution
rate of IT and information industry to the world economy
growth was 14.7%, and actually exceeded 25% in view of a
decreased value of products and services, In 1999, the merging
and acquisition transaction in the global information industry
amounted up to US$1 trillion, with an average annual 200%
growth. Although the information industry of different countries
in the world had been affected to certain degree due to
the global economic depression starting from the second
half of the year 2000, the world electronic information
industry as a total still kept a stable increase in 2000.
As indicated in Table, in 2000electronic information products
of 32 countries and regions in the world (Hong Kong and
Taiwan (China), rather than Chinese mainland included) have
a production value of US$1.1972 trillion, 12.3% growth compared
with the preceding year, and have a market sales volume
of US$1.1411 trillion, 9.4% growth compared with the preceding
year.
The "911" terrorist attack on the Unites States
in September 2001 made the world economy even more sluggish,
and brought the world information industry into depression
and into a period of adjustment. The information industry,
mainly of network economy, has been in a very difficult
situation of development. The relevant companies went closed
successively, and bubble of network economy gradually disappeared.
The world IT market will start to get better in the year
2002 or even earlier, and Asia will develop into an IT market
with the highest growth in the world, resulting in a progressive
revival of the depressed global IT industry.
In the world information product market, the USA and Japan
are still in the dominating position, and their information
industry trend has deep influence on the world economy,
but Asian countries tend to have a tremendous increase.
The USA is the largest production country as well as the
largest sales market of information electronic products
in the world. In 2000 its electronic information products
had a production value nearly 32% of the global value, with
a share 40% in the global market. Japan, the second largest
production and sales country, has a production value 20.9%
of the world, and its sales amounts for 16.4% in the world
market. The USA and Japan amount around half of the world
total production. In addition, Western Europe amounted for
21.5% of production, 26.4% of sales. Other countries and
regions except Japan and the USA totaled 25.7% of production,
and around 27.0% of sales. Please refer to the following
Table.
1.1.2 Development of world telecomm industry
The developed countries in the world have built up a nationwide
and perfect telecomm network system after dozens of and
even hundreds of years' development. Along with the uninterrupted
development of electronic IT, the telecomm infrastructure
of the developed countries has also been keeping improved,
especially with the speeding up of the globalization course
of telecomm market since the 1980s, the developed countries
have also sped up steps in developing international market
while breaking the monopoly of domestic market. Some major
developed countries in the world introducing competition
into their national market and relaxing controls, while
carrying out reforms on the telecomm operation and management
system, break the monopoly of big companies, open the operation
market and encouraging the competition between operation
enterprises. Telecommunications of main developed countries
has gained rapid development, and with a quite high scale
in the national GDP, it has become a vital propeller to
drive the economic development of all countries in the world.
Data Communication Networks System has been primarily shaped
up in the major developed countries in the world. The USA
has established powerful data communications across the
continents, countries, states and regions. The broadband
of the American Internet is the widest in the world, generally
622Mbps in the domestic, and reaches high up to 20Gbps in
some local areas. For the access speed of ISP to users,
ISP-access backbone net in the USA generally is a T3 (45Mbps)
special line, and every 300 users have one T1 (1.55Mbps)
line access to the backbone net.
At present, the owning rate of information terminal station
per capita in the main developed countries in the world
is very high, for example, reaching around 70% for fixed
telephones and 30% for mobile phones, as shown in Table
3. The owning rate of computers in American families has
reached 50%, of which 40% has accessed to the Internet.
According to the data shown in Yearbook of Computer Industry
published in April 2000, it is indicated that based on people
using the Internet every week, the top ten countries with
the largest number of subscribers are as follows: the USA
(114 million), Japan (25.4 million), German (14.9 million),
Canada (13.1 million), the United Kingdom (12.6 million),
South Korea (12.4 million), China (11.3 million), Italy
(9.3 million), France (6.3 million) and Australia (5.3 million).
Since the 1980s, there has been a rapid
development in telecomm technology, a fiercer competition
in the telecomm market, and a continuous emerging tide of
the business system reform, reorganization reform and merging
in the telecomm industry worldwide. The world telecomm industry
has entered into a new development stage, with the following
trends:
(1) Breaking monopoly with competition being introduced
in. The long-term monopoly has severely restricted the development
of the telecomm industry. Under the impact of the economy
globalization and the global informatization, some major
developed countries in the world gradually introduce competition
into their national telecomm market, relax control, carry
out reform on the management system of the telecomm operation
industry ,while breaking the monopoly of the giant companies,
opening the operation market and encouraging the competition
between operation enterprises.
(2)Network technology develops with each passing day and
there is a distinct trend in business integration. In recent
10 years, the telecomm network technology has been developing
towards business digitalization, technology broadbandization,
extensive use of optical fibre-made facilities and grouped
transmission. The technological development is changing
the basic framework of the world telecomm operation industry
form the old one which is based on the circuit exchanging
technology and its network structuring technology, to the
new one which is based on data, especially on IP exchange,
resulting in a trend of mutual integration among the traditional
telecomm services, broadcasting services and computer network
services.
(3) Global competition of the telecomm market becomes more
distinct. The developed countries speed up the development
of the international market while breaking the monopoly
of their domestic market. With the support from government,
telecomm enterprises have realized the restructuring among
different trades and different countries by means of combination,
merger and purchasing, so as to take over the international
market.
(4) Difference of telecomm development level among different
countries is gradually widening. The difference in the telecomm
field is intensifying the unbalance of the economic and
social development among regions.
1.2 Development Trend of the World Information
Industry
1. Up and down of electronic information production closely
related with the whole environment of world economy
World electronic information production witnesses an up
and down situation, which is closely related with the whole
environment of the world economy. After the five years of
slump in succession from 1988 to 1993, it went quite well
from 1994 to 1997. In 1998, it went down severely due to
the impact of Asian economic crisis. In 1999 along with
the quick economic recovery of the Asia-Pacific region and
the strong increase in Europe, the output value of world
electronic information products of that year exceeded that
before the financial crisis. Although the appearance of
the USA economy slump in the second half 2000 greatly affected
the course of world economy, electronic information industry
in year 2000 still remained a stable development. "911"
terrorist attack on the USA in September 2001 made the difficult
world economy even more plagued, and the world information
industry also stepped into the next readjusting period,
the semi-conductor and the personal computer market declined,
and the sales amount decreased continuously.
Among the world electronic information products manufactured
in year 2000, the proportion of investment section, consumption
goods and elements and parts products was 63.6:5.6:30.9
respectively. The development direction of the world information
industry is: proportion of products in investment sector
increased continuously, and the proportion of production
in consumption goods went down gradually, while production
of elements and parts still kept a stable proportion.
As shown in the following Table, among the production of
various kinds of electronic products, annual increase of
electronic elements and parts is the fastest; the second
one is the wireless telecomm products and radar products.
Development of these kinds of products exceeds the 7% growth
rate of the whole products, while annual growth rate of
all other different products is below 6%.
2. Rapid development of information electronics
production industry in the Asia-Pacific region
Although seriously stricken by the financial crisis, the
Asian electronic information industry went out of the shadow
in a faster speed than expected, the information electronics
production industry developed very rapidly. As shown in
the following Table, among the world top 10 countries and
regions producing electronic information products, Asia
possesses six, and the countries with annual growth rate
hitting two digits are also in Asia.
Note: * The gross output value of
Chinese electronic industry refers to the current price.
Source: Yearbook of World Electronics Data 2001 and Yearbook
of Chinese Electronics Industry 2001
In recent years, Malaysia has completed the adjustment of
its industrial structure, while having set up an export-oriented
industrial structure with the consumer electronics and semi-conductor
industry as the lead. Singapore is also a country which
has the export-oriented information industry; its major
products are computers and electronic components which account
for 35% and 31% of the gross output value respectively.
In addition, other countries in the Asia-Pacific region
such as Australia, Canada, India and Israel, etc., keep
good development in their information industry. Chinese
information industry has become a bright spot in the world.
In recent years, Chinese information industry has been keeping
an annual average output growth rate of 25% or so, three
times that of GDP. In 2000, the growth rate of Chinese GDP
was 7.1%, of which information industry accounted almost
for 1%. In 2001, the electronic information product manufacturing
industry still kept strong developing status, the industrial
gross output in the first half year increased by 32.9% and
industrial sales increased by 34% as compared with that
in the same period of the preceding year. Successful application
for Olympics in China and entry into WTO will surely bring
much more opportunities to China. Chinese information industry
under such favorable environment will have a bright future.
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