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South Asia includes India, Pakistan, etc. South Asia has made
full use of its abundant, inexpensive and highly qualified
human resources, particularly those with good command of English,
to develop its soft-ware industry, and has now emerged India,
the second largest software giant globally only next to the
US. In the new era. India takes advantage of high-tech to
promote its economic takeoff. It is probable the first country
to rely on the IT industry to drive economic growth, and will
thus break a new path for the development of developing countries.
As a country with the most rapid growth in population in the
world. Pakistan is an agriculture-based economy, generally
known as "Fruit Basket" of the East. The number
of laborers engaged in agriculture accounts for 51% of the
total nationwide.
1 India
1.1 A profile of Economic Development
With a land area of about 3 million sq km, India has a population
of 1.027 billion, accounting for 16.7% of the world total.
The current per capita income is rs 10,027 (about US$ 234).
Both investment in and development of IT in India has attracted
worldwide attention. Although the overall foundation of
the new economy is very weak, there is still a massive and
outstanding team of software engineers. The IT industry
in India has developed rapidly over the recent years, with
the average annual growth rate in the IT industry reaching
42.2% during the period of 1995-2000. The output value in
the IT industry in India reached Rs 554 billion (about UUS$
12.2 billion) for the 2000 fiscal year, up 49.4% over the
preceding year. The IT industry currently accounts for 1.68%
of the GDP in India. Netizens totals 2.1 million and the
proportion of household computers is 2.5% of all households.
India is a great developing power. Since the 1980s, telecommunication
reform has been carried out mainly involving institutional
readjustment, corresponding legislation and privatization
of carriers. Fore-cast and planning have been made for the
near and medium term development of the communication industry
in India. India has taken some proactive moves and employed
proactive policies in mobile communication, the Internet,
the software industry and e-Commerce, thus enabling these
industries to maintain a tendency of rapid development.
India has one special advantage for developing the telecommunication
industry, i.e., the telecommunication related software industry
has developed strikingly, with strong capacity of research
and development. In the past six years the software industry
in India has grown at an average annual rate above 50%.
Presently the export of Indian software if mainly to the
US, with the rest to more than 100 countries and regions.
The software industry has so given impetus to the frog-leaping
of the economy of India as to make India ambitious to become
a strong power in Asia. The main economic indexes in India
for 1996-1999 are shown in the following table.
Table Main economic indexes in India for
1996-2000 unit:%
Item 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Growth rate of GDPConsumer price indexGrowth rate of industrial
production 7.57.45.6 5.07.06.6 5.011.34.3 5.29.95.3 4.05.75
Source: China Industrial Electronics Yearbook 2000, p.460,
Electronic Industry Press.
The growth rate of agriculture for the
2000-2001 fiscal year is 0.9%, and that of the services,
manufacturing, building and telecommunication industries
is 5.2%, 6.7%, 6.8% and 15% respectively. In addition, the
real estate industry, retail industry, commercial undertakings
and other trades also registered a growth of 7.4%. The GDP
growth rate 4% is just based on the growth of these industries.
In the next three years, India will lower its import duty
by a large margin as promised. In order to safeguard domestic
industry, India is considering to adopt such tariff structure
as is being implemented in the USA and some other development
countries, that is, with low average duties combined with
extremely high duties combined with extremely high duties
for a few commodities, thus to safeguard the selected industrial
sector or sub-sectors. The target for export growth in India
for the 2000-2001 fiscal year has been adjusted downwards
to 3%. The 3% growth target after the adjustment is still
high than the expected 2% by the WTO. The September 11 terrorist
attack on the US seriously affected India's export, especially
to the USA, European Union and Japan. India's export to
these countries has accounted for 45% of its total export.
The growth rate of export reached 21% for the 1999-2000
fiscal year.
1.2 Development Status and Trend of Communication
Industry
1.2.1 Construction and evaluation of communication infrastructure
system in India
Popularization of telephone in India was only 0.04% in 1951.
Since the beginning of the 1990s, however, the communication
industry in India has experienced rapid development and
popularization of telephone increased drastically from 0.6%
in 1991 to 2.2% in 1999. The communication industry in India
has developed rapidly and is moving to the fast lane over
the recent years.
1. Status of construction of communication infrastructure
system in India
According to the latest statistics and forecast report of,
Dataquest the American international market survey company,
mobile telephone users in India totaled 1,076,900 in 1999
and the popularization rate reached 0.1%, an increase of
39.9% over the figure of 769,500 in 1998. The newly added
number of mobile telephones in 2003 is expected to reach
1.35 million, and the accumulated number of users at that
time will reach 4.5 million with a popularization rate of
0.4%. The number of Internet users in India was 90,000 in
1998, this figure increased to 150,000 in 1998 with a growth
rate of 66.7%, and is expected to reach 1.35 million in
2003.
The popularity rate of telephone in India
is extremely low at 2 sets per hundred persons currently.
The telecommunication business covered 5,000 cities and
towns nationwide in 1991, but only 53% of the 600,000 villages
are enjoying telecommunication services currently. Internet
lines have only connected to 100 medium and large cities,
25 of which can provide private Internet services. The India
government states that Internet users have exceeded 800,000,
but according to statistics of the National Software and
Services Companies Association, the number of Internet accounts
is not yet up to 400,000. In the cellular communication
market in India, the charge rate was US$ 0.36 per minute
for peak hours and US$0.18 per minute for normal time in
1995, and now the rate has been reduced by half. Currently
the modes of pre-charge and post-charge account for 50%
each, but the development trend is pre-charge in the future.
Nowadays in India, both public and private telecommunication
companies are increasing investment significantly. For instance,
the public VANL will invest US$ 1.5-2.0 billion in the five
years to come, and the Department of Telecommunication DOT
will invest a total of US$ 50 billion for the period 1997-2007.
Foreign companies are also increasing investment in India.
Sing Tel (Singapore Telecommunication) will march to the
domestic long distance communication market in India and
will lay a line of optic fiber cable with a total capacity
of 7.6 T bit/s, the highest in the world currently. AT&T
is another one that is actively finding access to the Indian
telecommunication market and has already invested US$ 300
million in the telecommunication industry in India. Nortel
Networks will build a network of optic cable jointly with
Indian local companies, which has a capacity of 10G bit/s
to connect the major commercial centers in India. Cisco,
which has enjoyed a 40% share in Indian network market,
will also invest US$ 100 million to extend its network in
India.
2. Future trend of communication infrastructure system
There is a strong demand in Indian telecommunication market,
which is reflected in the following aspects:
There is a tendency of booming in the telecommunication
facilities market. The 1999-2000 fiscal year reported a
40% increase in the sales value of telecommunication facilities
over the preceding year. Public telecommunication companies
were still the major buyers of telecommunication facilities
whereas private telecommunication companies monopolized
the demand for mobile telecommunication facilities. The
main driving force for the demand of Indian telecommunication
industry comes from cellular phones, the Internet and long
distance telephone business. More private telecommunication
carriers companies will appear in the future. In the basic
telephone field, there will be private companies operating
in various places in 15 state of India, while in the cellular
communication field, each state will have more than two
additional telecommunication carriers, one of which however,
should be BSNL or MTNL (both are newly organized telecommunication
companies by the DOT). The number of cellular phone users
will likely increase to 20-25 million within five years.
In addition, with the opening up of the long distance call
market, there will appear demand for DWDN (Dense Wave Division
Multiplexing) backbone net-work and wideband network.
Internet communication in India are developing rapidly.
By March 2000, 315 ISP licenses had been granted nationwide;
by July year, 72 ISPs had been operating. The number of
Internet users has exceeded 1.4 million and is expected
to reach 7.5 million by 2003. The Internet telephone in
India is likely to take off in 2001 and this will increase
the demand for IP products.
Facing the booming demand, both public and private telecommunication
companies are increasing investment generously. For instance,
the public VSNL will invest US$ 1.5-2.0 billion in the five
years to come, and the DOT will invest a total of US$ 50
billion for the period 1997-2007. Foreign companies are
also increasing investment in India. Those foreign telecommunication
companies which used to think only the cellular communication
business profitable in India are now planning to involve
themselves in national long distance (LND) and international
long distance (ILD) communication fields. The major ISPs
is India have also attracted considerable amount of foreign
capital.
Sing Tel (Singapore Telecommunication) will march to the
domestic long distance communication market in India and
will lay a line of optic fiber cable with a total capacity
of 7.6T bit/s, the highest in the world currently. AT&T
is another one that is actively finding access to the Indian
telecommunication market and has already invested US$ 300
million in the telecommunication industry in India. Nortel
Networks will build a network of optic fiber cable jointly
with Indian local companies, which has a capacity of 10G
bit/s to connect major commercial centers in India. Cisco,
which has enjoyed a 40% share in Indian network market,
will also invest US$ 100 million to extend its network in
India.
1.2.2 Development status and trend of communication
industry
1.Development Status of Communication Industry
India adopted the proposal for establishing separate telecommunication
regulatory institution in 1995 and set up the Telecommunication
Regulatory authority of India (TRAI) according to relevant
law in 1997 to regulate the interconnection and earnings
sharing among carriers, so as guarantee the execution of
license conditions, promote competition and settle disputes
among services providers. The TRAI is also responsible for
working out the charge rate and fee for the telecommunication
services and only the high courts or the supreme court of
India can voice their objections to TRAI's decision. The
DOT is responsible for license granting and extension.
In 1997, India made a commitment in the WTO negotiations
concerning the basic telecommunication services to further
realize liberalization of the telecommunication industry
by granting licenses to new liberalization of national and
international long distance services in 1999 and 2004 respectively,
though he former, was not realized as scheduled. In October
1999, India set up the Department of Telecommunication Services
(DTS) to provide telecommunication services. However, because
of functions overlapping with the DOT, India had to set
up the "Telecommunication Committee" to coordinate
the activities of DOT-DTS, including pushing on the privatization
of DTS to form "India Telecom". In order to effectively
push on the telecommunication reform and regulation, India
promulgated the "Amendment Act on Telecommunication
Regulation for 2000" on 24 January, 2000 to change
the original TRAI into small TRAIS without judicial power
and clearly define the consultative and regulatory functions
of TRAI. In the Act it is also decided to set up a separate
organ for settling disputes and accepting appeals-the "Telecommunication
Dispute Settlement and Appeal Acceptance Court"-to
decide on any dispute arising between the license grater
and the license holder, between two or among several service
providers, and between the services provider and the consumer,
and hear and handle any appeal concerning new TRAI decisions.
The new TRAI is staffed with a chairman, two standing committee
members and two part-time committee members, and has the
responsibility to work out telecommunication services charge
rate and fee, interconnecting fee, interconnecting technical
standards and quality standards for the government and put
forward unbinding suggestions for granting and cancellation
of licenses.
The year 2000 was a decisive one for the telecommunication
industry in India. This is mainly reflected in the rapid
progress in the cellular communication in India. The total
number of subscribers reached around 2.7 million; the remarkable
development of the Internet (according to the standard of
India) left a deep impression; the government's communication
policy was proactively shifted; the national long distance
communication market was opened to private telecommunication
companies in August 2000, and the opening of international
long distance market entered the countdown stage (the scheduled
opening time being 1 August, 2002). The India government
also reduced the customs duties and business tax of both
wired and wireless telephone facilities, and cut down on
the customs duties of optical fiber cable by a large margin.
All these proactive policies vigorously promoted the development
of the telecommunication industry in India. The following
is an introduction to the recent development of the telecommunication
market in India in several aspects.
The total revenue of the telecommunication industry in India
reached US$ 12 billion for the 1999/2000 fiscal year, up
22% over the preceding year. The growth rate for the period
2001-2005 is expected to approach 30%. By the year 2005,
the telecommunication network of India will possibly rank
the 6th largest worldwide. At the beginning of 2001, India
has 21.6 million lines of telephone, and the target for
2002 is 18.5 million new lines, so that the total capacity
will reach 45.3 million lines. It is also planned that the
popularization rate of telephone will increase to 15% by
the year 2010. India is now constructing the wideband infrastructure
so as to satisfy the demand of growing telecommunication.
2. Development potentialities and trend of communication
industry
What is most directly related to development of the telecommunication
industry in India is to fix on the reasonable charge rate
and fee and provide quality services to the satisfaction
of customers. To this end, India has carried out reform
to the telecommunication charge rate and fee over the recent
years, adopted new technology to improve the quality of
telecommunication services and formulated such policy frame-work
as to encourage the development of mobile network and the
Internet. Moreover, the (NTP) 1999 National Telecommunication
Policy defined the development targets of the national telecommunication
industry as follows:
To eliminate the telephone installation waiting list, maintain
at least one telephone line for each village with reasonable
price, and provide high level services; to reach a telephone
popularity rate of 7% by 2005, which will further increase
to 15% by 2010; to increase the popularity rate in the countryside
from the present 0.4% to 4% in 2010; to allow all regions
to access the Internet in 2000; to provide all towns and
cities with population over 200,000 with ISDN-included high-speed
data services and multimedia communication services; all
telecommunication carriers must turn in general services
obligation fees of telecommunication according to the license
conditions, but as a financial source for general services
obligation of telecommunication in India, the standard of
charging is yet to be fixed.
To provide voice and data services to the 210,000 villages
where currently have no telephone services, and provide
telephone services in all cities and villages. As the initial
installation fee of fixed network telephone in India is
costly at about US$ 775, the popularity rate of telephone
is very low. However, telecommunication carriers are most
interested in the wireless local line loop with low initial
installation fee and the new technology of mobile data transmission,
which has accelerated the development of the mobile communication
industry. In recent two years, the proportion of the mobile
communication market in large cities has decreased from
75% to the current 355 in the overall Indian mobile communication
market, indicating that the development speed of mobile
communication in telecommunication regions has exceeded
that in large cities.
Up to the beginning of 2000, 8 licenses had been granted
to 4 large cities, and 34 licenses had been granted to 18
communication regions; the number of mobile telephone use
us in the 4 large cities had reached 824,850; that in the
18 regions had reached, 1,137,937 (of which, 608,415 were
in Category A communication regions, 483,972 in Category
regions and 45,550 in Category C regions). The average annual
growth rate of mobile communication users in India has reached
above 50% since 1997.
The cellular communication have given new impetus to the
development. The number of cellular communication users
in India increased by more than 1 million from January to
September 2000, while that had just increased by 500,000
for the whole year in the previous year. According to the
estimation of American Frost & Sullivan, the market
scale of cellular communication in India is US$ 5.4 billion.
The cellular communication industry in India is at a stage
of most rapid growth, and there is still plenty of room
for future development.
On the cellular telecommunication market in India, the charge
rate was US$ 0.36/minute for peak hours and US$ 0.18/minute
for normal hours in 1995, now the rate has decreased by
half. However, what is most impressing is the growth in
pre-charge services. Although the pre-charge mode charges
a high rate for telephone calls (at US$ 0.13~0.17/min),
users may limit the use of pre-charge cards. Currently the
modes of pre-charge and post-charge account for 50% each,
but the development trend is pre-charge in the future.
The Indian government has pushed out the policy framework
for Cellular Mobile Services Providers CMSP), requesting
CMSPS to pay the access fee all at one time and enter into
an earnings sharing agreement with the state to cover the
license fee. CASPS are permitted to transmit long distance
calls in their own services regions without additional licenses.
After the domestic long distance services was opened, CMSPS
have been permitted to directly connect to VSNL and to interconnect
with any other services providers in their respective services
regions.
In January 2001, the Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL),
which was held by the Indian government by shares, accessed
the cellular mobile communication market to provide cellular
mobile services in Bombay and Delhi at a lower price (US$
0.058/min for outgoing call, US$ 0.032/min for incoming
call) than that offered by other cellular services companies.
In addition, the Indian Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd (BSNL),
with an initial investment of US$ 344.4 million and adopting
the CDMA system and one way charging, will start to provide
mobile services at lower price in more than 600 cities in
the first half of 2001.
NTP announced in 1999 DTS (MTML) was permitted to become
the third largest mobile communication company in large
cities and telecommunication regions, and thanks to tis
low capital investment and availability of its own existing
infrastructures, the new TRAI will supervise on it to see
if it will give subsidy for operation in remote areas. The
MTNL started to provide CDMA mobile communication services
in Delhi in October 1999 and then in Bombay in August 2000.
DOT/DTS are now carrying out trial operation of GSM mobile
communication services in 18 cities. Mobile phones in India
are imported from foreign countries. The high import duty
in the past affected the development of mobile communication
business; now the import duty rate has been reduced from
25% to 5%, which might stimulate mobile communication consumption.
India revised the interconnecting regulations September
1999 and has adopted the CCP mode (collecting on calling
party), and new charging structure and income sharing mode
among different carriers.
1.2.3 Telecommunication operation market pattern and developmental
trend
1. Competition pattern of the telecommunication operation
market
As the first state-owned company to access the mobile communication
market, Indian telecommunication company MTNL will enjoy
the favorable policy given by the government in respect
of taxation, and thus have considerable "super strong"
advantages. Currently the out calling is charged at Rs2.70
Rupees/minute by the company and cellular phone call receiving
is charged at Rupees Rs1.5/minute, whereas other private
companies are still maintaining the call charge at RS4/minute
in New Delhi.
Split of regulatory functions
Number plan Charge suggestion Charge approval Technical
standard Interconnect. fee Frequency distribution Type approval
Services quality monitoring Defining license fee
Regulatory authorities Regulatory authorities Regulatory
authorities Regulatory authorities Regulatory authorities
Regulatory authorities DOT Regulatory authorities Regulatory
authorities
Major Carrier: The major fixed link carrier
was re-organized to become a company in 1986. Mahanagar
Telephone Nigam Ltd. (MTNL) was established as a public
company that operates in telecommunication business in Delhi
and Bombay. Currently the majority of stock-shares are held
by the government (57%), with the remaining 43% held by
financial institutions, banks, common funds and other organizations.
Other: Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited (VSNL) is a private
carriers specially providing international services. There
are now more than 30 GSM cellular mobile services carriers,
each facing competition in its own geographic region.
Allowable foreign ownership: 49%.
In face of competition, two mobile telephone carriers in
the capital city New Delhi cut back on their telephone charge
standards by a large margin at the beginning of this year
to meet the challenges arising from the accession of the
state-owned MTNL into the mobile communication market. Sterling
Cellular co. took the lead in announcing a price cut. It
adjusted the receiving charge to Rs2.8 per minute while
the out calling charge was however adjusted to Rs1.6 Rupees
minute. Formerly both the receiving and out calling charges
collected by the company was Rs4.0 Rupees per minute.
It is forecasted that the number of cellular phone users
will be increased from the current 3 million to 100 million
by 2008.
2. Opening progress of telecommunication operation market
The telecommunication market in India has been monopolized
by the state before 1985. The telecommunication reform started
in 1995 and by 1999, India had adopted the new telecommunication
law. The reform has undergone the stages of prudent trial,
partial opening and complete opening.
The telecommunication facilities market was first opened
to allow domestic private enterprises to produce telecommunication
facilities and then foreign enterprises to access the telecommunication
facilities market. Followed next was opening of the added
value market. With the promulgation of national telecommunication
policies in 1994, the basic telephone services market was
opened. However, after opening of the mobile telephone market
and the fixed telephone market, administration on the telecommunication
industry was in disorder, and the intensifying conflict
between private enterprises and the government seriously
hindered the development of the telecommunication industry
in India. The Indian government than had to push out new
telecommunication policies in 1999 to relax the administration
on private enterprises and open up the domestic telecommunication
market to a larger extent, thus offering new opportunities
for the development of national telecommunication industry.
Major events during the reform include the following:
¡ñTrial stage of reform (1985-1994). In 1985 the Indian government
carried out separation of telecommunication and postal services.
In the meanwhile, it started the trial of share-holding
system in the telecommunication field and established the
DOT. Also VSNL was founded to monopolize the operation of
international services and MTNL to operate the local business
in Bombay and New Delhi, both belonging to the DOT. At the
beginning of the 1990s, India opened the added value services
with a scope including e-mail box, voice mail box, data
domestic services by means of VSAT, audio frequency text,
direct access code dialing, public board services, image
video frequency, television conference, morning call services,
paging services, cellular mobile telephone services, mobile
wireless cluster services, etc. With exception of the above,
the telecommunication reform has been at the trial stage,
without much progress.
¡ñOpening stage of basic telephone services (1994-1999).
The parliament of India adopted The National Telecommunication
Policy in May 1994, by which the Department of Telecommunication
(DOT) more than 20 telecommunication regions nationwide,
and allows more than 20 companies to carry on competition
with the DOT's companies in their respective regions, thus
to attract capital funds from all these companies to speed
up the communication development.
¡ñLiberalization stage of communication markets (1999-present).
The Indian government adopted new telecommunication policy
in March 1999 and decided to further open up other telecommunication
markets to realize full liberalization of telecommunication
markets. The new telecom policy stipulates: the DOT-monopolized
national long distance telephone services to be fully opened
as of January 2000, allowing for free competition, and it
was also considered to introduce international competition
in 2004; allow cable TV companies to provide voice and data
services; DOT to be split into two parts: one to provide
telephone services and the other to perform administration
on the telecommunication industry; gradually to realize
fair competition in the real sense so that MTNL will turn
in the same fees and abide by the same industrial regulations
and specifications as other private telecommunication companies.
The Indian government's communication policies have experienced
a proactive shift: the national long distance communication
market was opened to private telecommunication companies
in August 2000, and opening of the international long distance
(ILD) market has entered into the countdown stage (the scheduled
time for opening being March 2002). The Indian government
also reduced the customs duties and business tax of both
wired and wireless telephone facilities, and cut down on
the customs duties of optical fiber cable by a large margin.
All these proactive policies vigorously promoted the development
of the telecommunication industry in India. The extent of
market liberalization is as follows:
Local services NLD ILD Data Telex Leased
line
Competition Monopolization Monopolization Competition Competition
N.A.
Cellular analog Cellular data Paging Cable
TV Satellite fixed Satellite mobile
N.A. Competition Competition N.A. N.A. N.A.
¡ñ Lift the ban on IP telephone. Currently
in India, it is forbidden to provide telephone services
by means of the Internet. However, national netizens hope
to use Internet telephone because it can reduce the expense
of long distance calls while being difficult for interception.
A panel of consultants for Indian Prime Minister suggested
in a recent report that the government consider permitting
introduction of telephone services over the Internet so
as to significantly reduce the user's expenses. An economic
survey by the Indian government in January 2000 supported
the above suggestion. By March 2000, 315 ISP licenses had
been granted nationwide, the number of users had exceeded
1.4 million and is expected to reach 7.5 million in 2003.
India will permit the operation of Internet telephone services
from April 2002, two years in advance of the scheduled 2004.
¡ñThe Internet. There are limitations for Internet services
provision: ISPs are forbidden to provide voice services
through the Internet by means of leased capacity. Major
ISPs include Videsh Sanghar Nigam limited and the DOT.
Telecommunication operation market trend
¡ñFuture Regulatory Plan: to open up international services
in 2004. With the implementation of telecommunication liberalization
policies of India, in the basic telephone field, there will
be 15 states in which private telephone companies will operate
in various places. While in the cellular communication field,
each states will have more than two telecommunication operators
added, one of which ,however, must be a BSNL or MTNL company
(both BSNL and MTNL being newly established telecommunication
companies by the DOT).
¡ñAccelerate the privatization of public telecommunication
enterprises. The VSNL is gradually stepping into privatization,
and stock-shares held by the government has decreased from
52.97% to 26%. It is expected that it will lose its monopoly
in the international long distance telephone market. So
it is taking proactive actions to extend its business scope
and snatch market shares. The VANL has expressed interest
in basic telephone services and mobile communication.
Currently, the VSNL has applied for the basic services license
to provide basic telecommunication services in Delhi and
the Maharashtra State-of west India. Viewing that the policy
allows basic services operators to provide confined mobile
services by means of local loop circuit technology, the
VSNL has designated a panel of experts and consultants to
work out the scheme for mobile services license application
and the economic feasibility.
Vying in operation license application. Currently, the trend
for telecommunication companies to apply for basic or fixed
telecommunication services operation licenses is growing
in intensity. Telecommunication consultants India Limited
(TCIL), a public enterprise subordinate to the DOT, has
also applied for basic telecommunication services operation
licenses for operating in Aryana, Madhya Pradesh and Rajastha
States. The public BSNL Ltd. has also applied for fixed
services operation licenses for operating in Mumbai and
Delhi regions.
Furthermore, Reliance Group has also applied for providing
basic telecommunication services in 5 or more states. It
had previously applied for licenses in 12 states. Reliance
Group has also obtained the license to operate nationwide
optic fiber network, and has laid optical fiber cable in
10 provinces. The cellular Operators Association of India
(COAI) has also suggested officially that its members apply
for Fixed Services Provider (FSP) operation licenses, since
given the new policy, there will be more communication carriers
accessing the mobile communication services market by means
by wireless local loop circuit technology.
In the same year, the Indian government decided to recall
VSNL's right for international telephone services operation
2 years ahead of schedule (the scheduled expiry being the
year 2004). As a repay, the Indian government permits VSNL
to access the national long distance telephone market on
preferential conditions, and extend its business to the
whole country from the current 6 places. The Indian government
has also taken steps to open the market of "global
mobile personal communication services" through satellites.
On 15 July 2001, Indian Prime Minister Vajpayee issued a
decree: the State will break the monopoly in the international
long distance and transoceanic telephone services and allow
private companies, including foreign companies to take part
in the competition in Indian telecommunication industry
from August 15,2001. This new decree further removed the
largest obstacle for India to step into the information
age. The Indian government stated that any telecommunication
company, either national or foreign, is permitted to enter
the telecommunication market of India to take a share with
governmental telecommunication companies as long as it turns
in US$ 25 million.
Make greater efforts to attract foreign capitals. In order
to attract more foreign investment in the telecommunication
industry of India, the Indian government intends to give
foreign investors the right to hold 1005 stock shares instead
of the current 49%. This would arouse the great interest
of foreign investors. The Enron Corporation expressed their
intention to shift their investment intended for the power
sector of India to the telecommunication industry. This
company is now cooperating with the National Power Corporation
of India to invest US$ 500 million to lay data transmission
cables along their electricity transmission lines. The Reliance
Petroleum Ltd the famous petrochemical enterprise is making
use of the wideband to enter the Internet Age by investing
US$ 3 billion to lay cables crossing 25 states of India.
The TATA Group, which has assets of US$ 8 billion, also
plans to invest US$ 1.45 billion to construct telecommunication
infrastructures and lay cross-India optical fibers cables
as long as 2000km within 2 years. Indian local telecommunication
companies are not willing to be outshone. The Bharati Telecomm
Company, which has assets of US$ 380 million and has in
the past two years risen to be a leading company in the
telecommunication industry of India with the help of development
of small-size suppliers in the middle-east area of India,
is ambitious to lead the voice message, data and Internet
information transmission of the whole country, and is planning
to invest US$ 500 million in the construction of optical
fiber cables reaching from Himachal Pradesh in the north
to Tarmil Nadu in the south. Many other telecommunication
companies, either national or foreign, are also eager for
making a great achievements in the development of the telecommunication
industry of India so as to take a bite from the "big
cake" of telecommunication industry.
India sold Rs100 billion (43.3 Rupees equal about 1 US dollar)
stock shares of public enterprises in 2001, changed the
traditional administration mode, permitted private enterprises
to operate the FM broad-casting business, and decided to
lower the Internet networking charge by 15%. This was the
third successively year in which the Indian government sold
the stock shares of public enterprises. For 2000, the stock
shares of public enterprises planned for selling totaled
Rs50 billion but the actual selling reached Rs61.9 billion.
The public enterprises under the selling plan for 2001 are
mainly involved in telecommunication, tourism, electric
power, chemical fertilizer and natural gas industries. Telephone
companies subordinate to the DOT sold 19 million shares,
thus lowering the governmental shares from 56% to 51%.
4. Existing issues in the telecommunication market of India-interconnecting
among networks (Gateway)
Network interconnecting is an important aspect of the telecommunication
policy of India. If this issue is not properly addressed,
serious barrier will arise for market accession, whereas
high quality interconnecting may promote the value of networks.
It can be thus said that network interconnecting (gateway)
is the footstone for genuinely competitive market. The interconnecting
issue in India has always been the major obstacle to the
development of mobile communication. In India, when the
fixed telephone calls the mobile telephone, the fixed network
carrier does not pay any interconnecting charge to the mobile
communication carrier, whereas when the mobile telephone
calls the fixed telephone, the mobile carrier has to pay
full amount of local call charge of the fixed network i.e.,
Rs1.2, each time to the fixed network carrier. Mobile communication
carriers are compelled to interconnect with the MTNL network
in Delhi and Mumbai in order to connect terminal calling,
and to interconnect with DOT-DTS for local and long distance
junctions in other regions. Still, their international traffic
services has to access VSNL's international gateway exchange.
Although mobile communication carriers have been discussing
the interconnecting issue with existing fixed network carriers
since 1996, no interconnecting protocol has been reached
between DTS/MTNL and mobile communication carriers up to
now. The two issues needing to be addressed are multi-interconnecting
and access charging. Mobile communication carriers are asking
for the same sharing proportion of long distance and international
call charge with basis services operators. They insist that
the interconnecting access charging applied to fixed se5rvices
operators should also be applicable to mobile communication
carriers.
1.3 Market Analysis of Electronic Information
Products in India
1.3.1 Market scale, development features and growth potential
of electronic information products
The market scale of electronic products in India was US$
4.693 billion in 1998,down6.9% from 1997, among which ,that
of consumption electronic products ranked first, totaling
US$ 1.542 billion, down 4.9% from 1997 and accounting for
26.1% of the total; that of electronic components ranked
second, totaling US$ 1.225 billion, down 5.3% from 1997
and accounting for 21.2% of the total.
The total market amount of electronic products in India
was US$ 6.225 billion in 1999,up 5.4% over 1998,among which,
that of consumption electronic products ranked first, totaling
US$ 1.598 billion, up 3.6% over 1998 and accounting for
25.7% of the total; that of electronic components ranked
second, totaling US$ 1.332 billion, up 10.0% over 1998 and
accounting for 21.45 of the total.
The market amount of electronic products is India was US$
6.696 billion in 2000, up 7.65 over 1999. That of consumption
electronic products reported a growth rate of 7.3% and that
of electronic data processing products enjoyed a growth
of 12.0%. See the following Table for the market situation
of electronic products in India for 1998-2000.
Electronic components enjoyed a market amount of US$ 1.539
billion in India in 2001 and it expected to reach US$ 1.656
billion in 2002.
1.3.2 An Analysis on electronic information
products
The computer hardware market scale of India has been shrinking
over the recent years, and most particularly the export
has drastically decreased. The export value of computer
hardware of India was Rs155 million in 1998, down 985 over
the preceding year. The domestic market also experienced
a negative growth of 5.9%. The fierce competition in the
international market and the falling of price are the major
causes to the export decrease. In spite of that, in the
1998 fiscal year in India, the extent of computer application
in enterprises was rising up, the small-and medium-size
enterprises and SOHOs (small office and household office)
were rapidly growing, the PC sales value accounted for 32%
of the software market and that of serves accounted for
8.17%. The Indian government has realized the urgency of
hardware development in recent two years and holds that
India must vigorously enhance the development of hardware
if it hopes to become a super power in the IT world. The
Indian government named the year 2001 as "the year
of hardware development" so as to push on the IT hardware
construction.
1. Computer peripheral apparatuses and network products
The year 1998 witnessed a high-speed growth in the computer
peripheral apparatuses market in India, with output value
totaling Rs13.6 billion, up 63.27% over the preceding year.
Network products are major products of the IT industry.
Network products in India enjoyed a growth of 37.6% for
1998, reaching Rs7.15 billion.
2. Software
As a developing country, India had become a global software
export giant through the efforts of less than 20 years.
Its export of software (including services) was only US$
4 million in 1980, whereas in 2001, export of the software
industry has reached UUS$ 6.1 billion. See Figure 2 for
specific data.
A distinctive feature of the software industry of India
lies in the fact that almost all its software products are
exported and the domestic market scale of software is very
small. This is related to the national economic foundation
and economic scale of India. India is currently the second
largest software exporter globally next to the US. The export
of India software and services industries has grown in a
sustained manner over the recent years and the destinations
of such export are extensively distributed in 95 countries
and regions, but mainly in the US, Canada and Japan. See
the following figure.
3. Electronic Information Products
Indian domestic producers are only competitive in the middle
and low end apparatuses. To change such situation, C-DOT
the first telecommunication R&D institution, commercialized
its exchange technology and is now developing technology
that is comparable to foreign products (but with lower price),
thus to challenge foreign companies. The fierce market competition
caused drastic price downslide of telecommunication products,
and foreign companies acquired 60% of the orders for traditional
exchanges of the DOT for 1999-2000 by means of price-cutting
competition.
1.4 Development of National IT Industry
1.4.1 Overview of IT industry development
There were 25,000 sets of automatic telephone exchanges,
26.05 million telephone lines and 5000 lines of satellite
telephone lines in India by 31 March 1999 and 1.88 sets
of mobile telephone by April 2000. It is thus apparent that
India had very poor IT infrastructure.
Since the Internet was put into commercialization in India
in 1995, Internet subscribers have boomed in India at a
surprising speed. The IT revolution has given great impetus
to the development of the in India at a surprising speed.
The IT revolution has given great impetus to the development
of the computer software based IT industry in India. Up
to April 2001, the number of Internet users had reached
1 million. The wide application of the Internet globally
and the Intranet building rush in large companies and enterprises,
especially the rising of e-Commerce in recent years, have
offered unlimited business opportunities for the computer
software industry in India. Indian export of software has
increased at an annual rate of 60% over the recent years,
rendering India the second largest software exporter next
to the US currently. During the development of more than
ten years, Indian software has reported an average growth
of over 53% both in market scale and in export value, and
exhibit a trend of high-speed development.
India aims at becoming a super power worldwide in terms
of information technology. It has placed the development
of IT industry on top priority of national strategies, exporting
talents to the world and snatching strategic advantages
in the era of knowledge economy development.
1.4.2 Development features and trend of
major products
1. Position of IT industry in national economy
The IT industry accounts for 1.68% of the GDP in India.
As a developing country, India has developed a new style
of its own to start from the software industry to catch
up with the IT wave with big strides. Its software industry
takes the lead in developing countries and enjoys a worldwide
fame.
The software industry is the largest sector in Indian IT
industry. Software enterprises have grown into considerable
scale and there have appeared a lot of internationally competitive
enterprises. Software export has grown at high speed, rendering
India the second largest software exporter globally. According
to the survey and evaluation of the World Bank on the capacities
of software exporting countries, India comes out on the
top worldwide in terms of the comprehensive index of scale,
quality and cost of soft-ware export. The export value of
India software industry was US$ 6.3 billion in 2000. According
to a study made by Mckinsey CO. & AND National Association
of Software Services Companies (NASSCOM), in the 8 years
to come, the output value of Indian software industry is
likely to reach US$ 87 billion, 50 billion of which will
come from the export value. The main reason why India has
grown into a software giant from a poor country in the world
and is daring to challenge the USA, the number one software
giant in the global software market, is that India has treasured
software talents, attached great importance to developing
software products with its own intellectual property rights,
and put its software products promptly into the global market.
The software industry is one of pillar
industries in India. It has the following characteristics:
Numerous software talents. Private software companies are
the pools of software talents, and many software export
companies are galaxies of talents. In the more than 600
companies engaging in software export in India, software
engineers total 35,000, of which, senior talents account
for one third, reaching 11,000. While the whole world is
in urgent need of software talents, Indian has plenty and
has thus become the envy of foreign counterparts. This is
because the Indian authorities have, on the one hand, attracted
software engineers working in the US to come back by means
of rich and generous treatment, and on the other hand, tried
all out to prevent foreign countries from hunting Indian
software engineers.
Reasonable scale of software production. Indian software
production is mainly concentrated in a couple of large software
producers, the largest one has a business value accounting
for 78% of the total of the national software industry.
It is thus apparent that Indian software industry is relatively
centralized, and scaled intensive operation has taken shape.
Possession of own intellectual property rights. Over the
recent years, the proportion of software products with intellectual
property rights owned by the software industry of India
has been increasing year by year, at 47% in 1996, 63% in
1997 and 85% in 1998.
Emphasis on execution of international standards. In order
to boost international competitiveness of software products,
the software industry of India has attached great importance
to improving product quality. Currently the software products
from 120 Indian software producers have obtained the ISO9000
certification, and among the 41 companies of cmm5 grade
for software development, the global top quality evaluation
standard has 28 in India.
Advanced mode of export. Over the recent years most Indian
software producers exported their software products directly
by way of high-speed data transmission lines with transmission
speed up to 64 k bits/min. Software producers transmit their
new software products to the customers via these lines;
in case of need for revision, the products can then be transmitted
back through the lines, therefore the transmission is highly
efficient.
Low price of products. It is globally known that Indian
software products are inexpensive, their price being just
10%~20% of that of similar US products. Such low price of
software with reserved copy rights makes the pirates flinch.
Therefore, Indian software products sell well, with a high
rate of reserved copy rights and very little piracy.
Leading role of the government. Ever since the 1980s, the
Software Development Bureau of the Ministry of Communications
and Information Technology on Department of Technology India
has appropriated a sum of special fund every year for developing
international markets. The Indian government formulated
the "Indian IT Action Plan" in May 1995. The government
has taken a series of measures to promote the export of
software, such as zero customs duty, zero circulation tax
and zero services tax for software, package agreement for
overseas investment and procurement, preferential loans
from banks, venture capital investment, etc.
Establishment of numerous software parks. The Indian government
has set up scores of software parks domestically, with 4-5
in Karnataka alone. The Bangalore Software Park is the largest
and most famous one in Karnataka, which also enjoys a worldwide
fame and can be taken as the "Silicon Valley in India",
so to speak. Figure 4 shows the export statistics of Bangalore
Software Park. It can be seen from the figure that Bangalore
Software Park has enjoyed a rapid growth in the output of
software products since the 1997-1998 fiscal year, with
the 2000-2001 fiscal year reporting the most rapid growth,
up 73% over the preceding year.
To train and attract talents is the foundation for development.
By 31March, 2001, the software industry in India employed
340,000 professionals, with an increase of 180,000 in nearly
three years. There will be a demand of 2.2 million software
professionals and 1.6 million hardware professionals by
2008. Moreover, there is a drastic increase in the demand
of Indian IT professionals in overseas human resource markets.
Facing such situation, the Department of Information and
Technology India is formulating a talent training plan by
the name of "Knowledge Action" to satisfy the
increasing demand both at home and abroad. First, it is
planned to promote 43 regional engineering academies nationwide
to the same level as Indian Academy of Science and Technology.
Second, establish Indian IT Academy at all states in India.
Third, vigorously encourage private schools and academies.
Fourth, yigorously encourage famous software industrial
companies to run schools and academies. The Department of
Electronics of India has set out to establish 3 software
parks respectively in Bangalore, Bhubaneswar and Poona since
1987. Now Bangalore has become the software capital of India
and is known as one of then ten silicon valleys in the world.
India has established 17 software parks successively and
more than 1300 foreign companies have registered at these
parks.
2. Import and export of electronic products
The foreign trade of electronic products in India recorded
an unfavorable balance of US$ 1 billion in 1997. It was
the same case with 1998 with an unfavorable balance of US$
1.212 billion.
The export value of Indian electronic products was US$ 540
million in 1997, among which, that of electronic data products
ranked first, totaling US$ 250 million and accounting for
46.3% of the total; that of electronic components ranked
second, totaling US$ 120 million and accounting for 22.2%
of the total.
The export value of Indian electronic products was US$ 384
million in 1998, down 28.9% over 1997, among which, that
of electronic data products ranked first, totaling US$ 194
million, down 22.4% over 1997 and accounting for 50.5% of
the total; that of electronic components ranked second,
totaling US$ 81 million, down 32.5% from 1997 and accounting
for 21.1% of the total.
Import: The import value of Indian electronic products was
US$ 1.54 billion in 1997, among which, that of electronic
data products ranked first, totaling US$ 609 million and
accounting for 39.5% of the total; that of electronic components
ranked second, totaling US$ 445 million and accounting for
28.9% of the total.
The import value of Indian electronic products was US$ 1.596
billion in 1997, up 3.6% over 1997, among which, that of
electronic data products ranked first, totaling US$ 702
million, up 15.3% over 1997 and accounting for 44.0% of
the total; that of electronic components ranked second,
totaling US$ 420 million, down 5.6% over 1997 and accounting
for 26.3% of the total.
1.5 An Analysis on IT Application
By encouraging the people to get actively involved in the
IT revolution, India undertakes to seize the opportunity
and bring its advantages into full play to vitalize the
IT industry, aiming at realizing a development scale of
Indian IT industry of US$ 140 billion by 2008 and offering
millions of job opportunities. At present the Indian government
is implementing e-Government and e-Finance, and all schools
will connect to the Internet. The Indian government intends
to turn India into a "super power in the world IT industry"
by making efforts both in development and in application.
1.5.1 E-Commerce
In developing countries such as India, e-Commerce is reshaping
people's life rather than be enjoyment of the very few.
In New Delhi, more and more housewives are selecting daily
necessities such as vegetables, rice, cooking oil and table
salt through the wide cyberspace. In the western commercial
city Bumbai, thousands of shareholders are fixing their
eyes on the electronic screen to keep abreast of the constantly
changing stock market. The new generation of farmers in
Madhya Pradesh are making use of their computers to get
to know the updated price information before they determine
the selling price of their own products.
With the development of information technology and popularization
of the Internet, e-Commerce is approaching thousands of
households. Almost all business related activities, such
as banking services, purchase and sale of commodities, job
and marriage seeking, business negotiation, financing and
stock transaction, etc. can be completed at home or in the
office through the network easily. You just have to click
the mouse of your computer and all these activities are
completed in a short while with ease, saving time and offering
unlimited business opportunities. However, as a new and
rising industry, e-Commerce is experiencing an unbalanced
developed worldwide. The drafting of the "IT Act"
of India was finished in December 1999 and the Act was adopted
in May 2000 to become a national law. The Act legalized
electronic signature and electronic recording, and such
signature and recording shall become effective by passing
the certification of competent certification authorities.
This is an important move that the Indian government has
made to encourage e-Commerce.
After a recent survey and evaluation on the e-Commerce market,
the Indian National of Software and Services Companies (NASSCOM)
stated in its Nasscom Report that from 1999 to 2000 the
volume of business of e-Commerce increased by 2.5 folds,
reaching US$ 573.6 million, and since the Internet was formally
put into operation in 1995, Internet subscribers have been
grown in multiplies at surprising speed. According to NASSCOM's
survey, by the end of 2000, Internet subscribers had totaled
5.5 million, and more than 200 towns and cities had accessed
the Internet.
With the rapid popularization of the Internet in India,
e-Commerce in now in the ascendant, so to speak. The total
volume of business of e-Commerce in 1998 was Rs1.31 billion
(US$ 30 million), 91% of which was from B2B and 9% from
B2C; the national business volume of e-Commerce in India
reached Rs4.5 billion, 4 billion of which was from B2B and
Rs500 million from B2C; the key aspect of e-Commerce is
Business to Business, consistent with the global trend of
e-Commerce; the business volume of e-Commerce reached Rs35
billion Rupees in 2000. it is expected that the business
volume of e-Commerce in 2001 will total US$ 1.31 billion,
91% of which being B2B and 9% being B2C. This business volume
will increase to US$ 2.2946 billion, US$ 5.7365 billion
and US$ 11.479 billion respectively in the years 2002 and
2003. It is thus clear that e-Commerce in India will have
a great market potential and a good prospect for development.
By 2002 the sales value of national software and related
industries will have reached US$ 700 million. More importantly,
the global development of e-Commerce has offered India such
a rare chance that the domestically provided e-Commerce
services can also be used to indirectly earn US$ 340 million
of export income for India.
1.5.2 Fully opening the Internet services
India started to provide Internet service in August 1985.
The Internet services in India have developed at high speed
and with wide coverage. In large cities in India, there
are Internet cafes almost in every street. The utilization
rate of the Internet is extremely high, with average logging
on time per household per month reaching 14~20 hours, which
is comparable to North American areas. Internet users in
India reached about 500,000 households in 1999, and will
likely have reached 1 million by the end of 2000. With the
lowering of price of household computers and the possibility
of accessing the Internet through cables, the next few years
will see a considerable growth in the number of Internet
users. The Indian government announced their policy on ISPs
in November 1998, stating that no limit will be given to
the number of private ISP s for entering into the Internet;
ISPs need not pay the license fee for the initial five years,
and shall pay a nominal license fee of 1 Rupee after 2003.
According to the forecast of IDC India Company, Internet
users in India will reach 37.5 million people by 2005, and
by 2003, the business value over the Internet by Indian
companies will reach as high as US$ 8 billion; such a big
market will enable some formerly losing companies to gain
profits. The Satyam Infoway, the second largest ISP in India,
states last month that the fourth quarter of the current
fiscal year up to March 31 had reported an increase in the
amount of loss by quadruple in the company, reaching as
high as US$ 18.2 million. The growth in Internet users will
also drive the PC selling and bring about tremendous gaining
for some PC manufacturers and small-size companies.
In February 2000, the Indian government pushed out a policy
to encourage ISPs to set up their own international gateway
exchanges. It is allowable to apply for national "Class
A" license, regional "Class B" license and
city level "Class C" license. By 28 February,
2000, India had granted 250 ISP licenses. In February 2000,
DOT in principle approved several ISPs to set up their VAST
gateway exchanges by means of foreign satellites. The public
VSNL is the largest ISP in India, having 344,000 Internet
subscribers by the end of March 2000. DTS and MTNL had 96,000
and 21,000 Internet subscribers respectively. Major ISPs
in India are shown in the Table.
The Indian government
has decided to formally open the Internet telephone services
in April 2002, two years ahead of schedule. The Minister
of Telecommunication stated that because of the difficulties
to lower the cost of long distance telephone, it is still
not allowable to provide voice telephone services over the
Internet, it is hoped that Internet telephone services will
be provided after the Internet has reached the countryside.
The Indian government granted the first private ISP license
on 7 November 1998, and thus ended the monopoly of the business
Internet services of the public VANL. The Indian government
has set out to implement the policy for liberalized Internet
services and allows foreign companies to hold 49% shares
of ISPs. Indian Prime Minister announced the details for
ISP administration and hoped that the enterprises in this
industry could extend their high quality Internet services
as soon as possible to promote the rapid development of
the Internet in India so that the wide range of netizens
could keep pace with the network age. The Indian government
expressed that they will not limit the granting of ISP licenses
and will not collect any fee from the first five ISPs for
15 years operation.
Internet users in India have totaled 1.07 million, about
80% of which access the Internet through the network facilities
of VSNL telecommunication companies. VSNL introduced its
business Internet services as early as 1996, and the number
of its subscribers has increased year by year, which has
greatly promoted the networking craze in India. However,
as VSNL has monopolized the business Internet services in
India over the years, this has hindered the opening and
development of the Internet services in India and is extremely
harmful to the development of the communication industry
of India. To change such situation, the Indian government
decided to break the monopoly in telecommunication and open
the Internet services all over. Since the Indian government
began to implement opening of the Internet services, the
Internet industry in India has developed quite rapidly.
The number of Internet users has doubled from 500,000 in
1998 to 1.07 million presently, and the Internet industry
in India has exhibited a booming development.
The full opening of the Internet in India has imposed a
favorable influence on the development of the software industry,
this is because the sustainable development of the software
industry must rely on the inexpensive Internet accession.
The ISP policy adopted by the Indian government satisfied
the need of development of the software industry, and has
received the support from the ISPs both at home and abroad
that intend to push out private Internet services. For example,
AT$T, BT and America Online have expressed their strong
support to it. Currently more than 70 Indian companies and
more than 40 foreign companies have shown their interest
to join the ISPs to promote further development of the Internet
industry in India. As a branch of e-Commerce, mobile commerce
has also gotten off the mark in India, which will add to
the business volume over the mobile network and thus to
the new source of earnings. The middle class and the rich
class in India are adding to the growth of such mobile commerce,
and mobile services operators are providing such services
in cooperation with software companies and banks. Bharti
Tele soft has developed the mobile bank services platform,
which was put in commercial services in March 2000.
1.5.3 Enterprise management
The IT revolution has given impetus to traditional industries
in India, bringing great vitality for their development.
Some famous auto manufacturing companies in India, for example,
have enhanced their management, reduced the number of intermediate
links and raised labor productivity with the help of the
Internet, and are selling automobiles through online shops.
The 1999-2000 fiscal year saw an increase of 51% over the
preceding year in the total domestic sales of sedan cars
in India, exceeding 600,000 cars, to which the selling over
the Internet has made an undeniable contribution.
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